Anthropic 第三季度收入达 $16.8B,环比增速从 147% 降至约 45%。据 Financial Times,二季度收入从约 $4.8B 增至 $11.5B;公司称每 $1 计算支出获得 $1.70 收入,竞对蒸馏曾占收入 5% 至 7% 后被大幅削减;银行家传闻 IPO 估值约 $2T、募资超 $100B。Bloomberg 指出市场将增长放缓解读为 AI 芯片和服务器的坏消息,AI 交易需要证明计算支出能在增长降温下产生可持续利润。
同一件事,精选收录的是《Anthropic Q3营收达168亿美元但增速放缓,11月IPO前估值预期或下调》
Bloomberg:一个紧张不安的市场将 Anthropic 增长放缓解读为对 AI 背后芯片和服务器的坏消息。
Anthropic 第三季度营收达到 168 亿美元,环比增速从 147% 降至 45%。
随着销售增长降温,AI 交易现在需要 Anthropic 证明其算力支出能产生可持续的利润。
> Anthropic第三季度营收为168亿美元,较第二季度增长约45%,较第一季度到第二季度超过100%的增幅大幅回落。 ~ 金融时报 营收在第一季度到第二季度之间翻了一倍多,从约48亿美元增至115亿美元,但第三季度的增速落后于此前水平。 > 该公司告诉投资者,每在算力上花费1美元,就能赚取1.70美元,这意味着算力成本约占营收的59%,并暗示其85%的调整后毛利率并未计入其中很大一部分支出。 > 竞争对手实验室进行的蒸馏——即用Claude的输出训练它们自己的模型——曾占Anthropic营收的5%至7%,直到该公司在第三季度大幅削减了这一部分。 > Anthropic连续第二个季度报告调整后盈利,调整后营业利润率为11%,不过高管警告称,在算力和生物医学研究上的巨额支出可能会改变这一状况。 > SemiAnalysis预计其年化营收约为740亿美元,而一些投资者在夏季曾预测,到年底这一数字将突破1000亿美元。 > Meta和Microsoft这两个主要客户已转向自家AI工具,而针对OpenAI的降价以及更便宜的中国模型,压缩了每个客户支付的金额。 > 银行家们已提出以约2万亿美元估值进行首次公开募股,募资超过1000亿美元,这将超过SpaceX在6月以1.77万亿美元估值上市的交易,成为史上最大规模的IPO。 > 一份早期的S-1草稿将近三分之一的篇幅用于风险因素,包括AI模型表现不可预测或带有恶意,以及Anthropic所描述的对人类可能存在的生存风险。
原文
> Anthropic’s third-quarter revenue of $16.8B grew about 45% from the second quarter, a steep drop from the more than 100% jump between the first and second quarters. ~ Financial Times Revenue more than doubled between the 1st and 2nd quarters, from about $4.8B to $11.5B, but third-quarter growth lagged behind that earlier rate. > The company told investors it earns $1.70 for every $1 spent on compute, which puts compute near 59% of revenue and implies its 85% adjusted gross margin excludes much of that spending. > Distillation by rival labs, which train their models on Claude’s outputs, had made up 5% to 7% of Anthropic’s revenue until the company cut it back materially in the third quarter. > Anthropic reported adjusted profitability for a second straight quarter and an 11% adjusted operating margin, though executives warned heavy spending on compute and biomedical research could change that. > SemiAnalysis projects annualized revenue of roughly $74B, while some investors had predicted during the summer that the figure would pass $100B by year-end. > Meta and Microsoft, two major customers, have moved toward their own AI tools, and price cuts against OpenAI and cheaper Chinese models have compressed what each customer pays. > Bankers have floated an IPO raising more than $100B at about $2T, which would surpass SpaceX’s $1.77T listing in June as the largest offering ever. > An early S-1 draft devoted almost a third of its length to risk factors, including AI models behaving unpredictably or maliciously and what Anthropic described as possible existential risks to humanity.
来源:Rohan Paul · x.com