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Ethan Mollick· @emollick · X·· 2026-08-17AI 评分30
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Ethan Mollick 回应 AI 治愈疾病的说法,认为其实际含义可能是“数据中心里的天才群体将发明理论上能治病的东西”,但这与真实试验、证据和 FDA 审批之间存在巨大鸿沟。引用推文指出,尚无 AI 公司提出 5-10 年内治愈哪怕一种疾病的切实计划,且仅心血管疾病三期试验就需约五年(如 ZEUS),医院工作教会人敬畏疾病。

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I, also, would like more precision around discussions of how AI will cure diseases. I assume it means "a nation of geniuses in a data center will invent things that should in theory cure diseases" but there is a real big gap between that and actual trials & proof & FDA approval.

引用Marios Georgakis@MariosGeorgakis
Has any of the AI companies ever presented a real plan for how they are going to cure even one disease in 5-10 years? This doesn't just sound crazy to ordinary people, but also to any clinician or drug developer I know. Beyond the fact that we still have very few true cures for chronic diseases, simply running a phase 3 trial to test if a potential treatment for cardiovascular disease actually works takes five years (e.g. ZEUS). I've said this before, but one thing that working in hospitals teaches you is to respect disease.
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来源:Ethan Mollick · x.com