Rohan Paul· @rohanpaul_ai · X·· 3 小时前AI 评分52
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Anthropic 发布新研究报告，其员工预期 AI 到 2030 年能完成自己 75% 的当前工作，而美国普通劳动者的预期为 28%。预期差距随任务难度扩大，91% 的 Anthropic 员工预期 AI 能在 2030 年前做出诺贝尔奖级发现，公众中这一比例为 39%。引用数据显示，Anthropic 初级技术岗位占比从 21% 降至 14%，同期其智能体 logged 6x human hours。
正文 · 原文
Anthropic staff expect AI to do 75% of their current work by 2030; US workers say 28%.
The gap grows with difficulty: 91% of staff expect AI to make a Nobel-level discovery by 2030, against 39% of the public.
- From Anthropics, new research report.
Anthropic’s junior share of technical headcount slid from 21% to 14% while the company tripled in size, and about a third of Anthropic’s ML managers and a fifth of its SWE managers said AI has them hiring less. During the same time its agents logged 6x human hours.在 X 查看被引用的帖子
来源：Rohan Paul · x.com