Rohan Paul· @rohanpaul_ai · X·· 2 小时前AI 评分62
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IMF总裁Kristalina Georgieva表示，AI在支撑全球增长的同时正消除年轻劳动者的首批工作，因为新人通常从例行性、重复性岗位起步并逐级晋升。IMF研究估计AI可能影响发达经济体约60%的岗位、全球约40%，其中约一半受影响劳动者可能受益，其余的关键任务可能被自动化，而这些任务往往是入门级工作的主体。
正文
Business Insider: IMF chief Kristalina Georgieva says AI is propping up world growth while erasing young workers’ first jobs.
Because, newcomers usually start in “routine, repetitive jobs” and rise through the ranks.
IMF research finds AI is likely to affect about 60% of jobs in advanced economies and 40% globally.
Roughly half of those exposed workers could benefit, while the rest are likely to see key tasks automated, and those tasks are often the substance of entry-level work.
The IMF just published its latest forecasts and it assume no extra productivity growth from AI, and the report finds that economy-wide data still show little effect on wages, jobs or measured productivity, despite gains on specific tasks. > The surge in AI hardware trade comes mostly from higher prices rather than more units shipped, and rising memory chip costs are already pushing up core-goods inflation in some rich economies. > In the IMF’s models, an AI bust costs the world economy almost twice what an AI boom adds: 1.1% of output lost by 2028, against 0.6% gained by 2029. > AI hardware trade has roughly tripled in value since 2019 because prices rose, not because more was shipped, with Taiwan and Korea supplying 62% of net exports and the US and China taking over 75% of net imports.在 X 查看被引用的帖子
来源：Rohan Paul · x.com