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Elon Musk· @elonmusk · X·AI 评分24
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马斯克转发并认同一条观点：Opus 5.5 已给人强烈的 AGI 感觉，接近程度约 80%-90%。该观点认为 Anthropic 并未发现什么神奇公式，SpaceXAI、Google 等将很快跟进，并预测 Anthropic、SpaceXAI、Google、OpenAI 及 Meta 等美国大实验室都将在 2027 年实现真正的 AGI，随后快速迈向 ASI。

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Accurate

引用Dr Singularity@Dr_Singularity

Feeling the AGI/ASI, few observations

1. Opus 5.5 really gives strong vibes of AGI (maybe not fully there, but we're very close, like 80%-90%).

For example, few breakthoughs in training humanoids are needed. We need to move this intelligence into physical world.

  1. I don't think Anthropic has discovered any magical formula.
  2. Which means, SpaceXAI, Google, and others will soon follow. This prediction is based on the amount of compute they already have + additional compute being added all the time.
  3. Never was more confident that Anthropic, SpaceXAI, Google, OpenAI, likely Meta, basically all big US AGI labs will have proper AGI in 2027.
  4. And from there we'll move quickly to ASI territory (likely also in 2027).

It looks like few GW of compute are enough for strong AGI, now imagine what we will able to do with 10-20GW of compute which are rapidly coming online.

And then with 100GW-200GW...

2027 will be an utterly insane year.

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来源：Elon Musk · x.com

Anthropic / Claude

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