# Hugging Face 联创 Thomas Wolf：智能价格下降可能是宇宙历史尺度上最深刻的事件之一

- 来源：Thomas Wolf (@Thom_Wolf)
- 发布时间：2026-09-24 23:44
- AIHOT 分数：41
- AIHOT 链接：https://aihot.news/items/cmufq9gbi049hroxzodra6smx
- 原文链接：https://x.com/Thom_Wolf/status/2103148544982999044

## AI 摘要

Hugging Face 联创 Thomas Wolf 认为，智能价格持续下降可能是宇宙历史尺度上最深刻的事件之一。他引用 Epoch AI 数据：自 2023 年以来，同等性能下 AI 成本每季度下降约 47%，比 DNA 测序快 4 倍、比算力快 6 倍、比锂电池快 18 倍、比电力（至 1973 年）快 54 倍。

## 正文

on the scale of cosmic history, the declining price of intelligence might be one of the most profound things happening

both ends of the universe’s timeline are empty of knowledge:
• the big bang: low entropy, no complex structure
• heat death: maximum entropy, no usable energy gradients

everything we build happens on the slope between them

but the universe is generally a poor converter of its free energy into anything constructive. most of its free energy just radiates away as heat or collapses into black holes

life, brains and now AI models are structures that sit in the entropy flow and divert a portion of it through constructive paths, building and maintaining low-entropy structures (machines, cells, crystals, memories)

increasingly cheaper intelligence diverts increasingly more of that gradient flow through knowledge-building structures, complex, self-maintaining, predictive structures, filling the window in which understanding exists

### 引用推文

> Epoch AI：AI is getting cheaper more quickly than any other transformative tech in history. At a given level of performance, cost has fallen ~47%/quarter since 2023. That...