AI 使用率高的医院死亡率更低?需警惕相关不等于因果

Chubby♨️ · @kimmonismus · X·2026-09-21 17:20·3小时前
AI 导读

有图表显示 2026 年 AI 使用率更高的医疗系统死亡率更低,但 Kim 提醒不应将相关性与因果性混为一谈,资金和人员更充足的机构可能同时更倾向用 AI 且疗效更好,关键在于分析是否考虑了患者群体构成差异。他仍认为 AI 有潜力变革医疗,医生在文书上耗时极高,AI 智能体可带来巨大收益。

Chubby♨️@kimmonismus
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AI 使用率高的医院死亡率更低?需警惕相关不等于因果

2026-09-21 17:20· 3小时前
AI 导读

有图表显示 2026 年 AI 使用率更高的医疗系统死亡率更低,但 Kim 提醒不应将相关性与因果性混为一谈,资金和人员更充足的机构可能同时更倾向用 AI 且疗效更好,关键在于分析是否考虑了患者群体构成差异。他仍认为 AI 有潜力变革医疗,医生在文书上耗时极高,AI 智能体可带来巨大收益。

Interesting graph. However, one should be careful not to confuse correlation with causation. The graph shows lower mortality rates in healthcare systems with higher AI usage in 2026.

This does not necessarily mean that AI is the cause. It is conceivable, for example, that better-funded and better-staffed facilities are more likely to use AI and simultaneously achieve better treatment outcomes. Therefore, it is crucial whether such differences and the composition of the patient groups were taken into account in the analysis.

Regardless, I believe that AI has the potential to revolutionize the healthcare sector. I know many doctors, and the amount of time spent on documentation is absurdly high. At the same time, there are so many bureaucratic hurdles, at least in Germany, that even doctors are subject to, that the use of AI and AI agents could offer immense benefits for everyone.

HedgeyeHospitals that adopted AI fastest saw the fewest deaths in 2026.

来源:Chubby♨️· x.com