Ethan Mollick · @emollick · X·2026-09-20 00:16·2小时前
AI 导读

Ethan Mollick 回应 Nate Silver 称 AI 实验室难以描绘乐观中期未来,认为一种可能是勉强度过多数风险、生存性风险被阻止,早期数据暗示的积极影响持续显现。这些影响包括生产力提升、科学发现增多、创业增加、就业稳定或增长,其中就业最为不确定。

Ethan Mollick@emollick
22AI 编辑部评分,满分 100
2026-09-20 00:16· 2小时前
AI 导读

Ethan Mollick 回应 Nate Silver 称 AI 实验室难以描绘乐观中期未来,认为一种可能是勉强度过多数风险、生存性风险被阻止,早期数据暗示的积极影响持续显现。这些影响包括生产力提升、科学发现增多、创业增加、就业稳定或增长,其中就业最为不确定。

One future is that we muddle through on most risks (& the existential ones are prevented) and the positive impacts that early data hints at — higher productivity, more scientific discovery, higher entrepreneurship, employment stable/growing (most tentative of the set) — continue

Nate SilverOne political problem for AI labs is that they can't articulate an optimistic medium-term future that sounds broadly good for humanity without also sounding inc...

来源:Ethan Mollick· x.com