# Nathan Lambert 谈 AI 近期事件与走向

- 来源：Nathan Lambert (@natolambert)
- 发布时间：2026-09-19 23:48
- AIHOT 分数：28
- AIHOT 链接：https://aihot.news/items/cmu8km42w1oolrogrfadd4e9d
- 原文链接：https://x.com/natolambert/status/2101337640360444296

## AI 摘要

一个温和派对近期 AI 事件与走向的看法。

我此前低估了我们在不久的将来可能对推理时计算进行的扩展规模，但这与 RSI 不同，我还没有看到足够证据让我相信智能爆炸即将到来。

## 正文

A moderate's view on the recent events and trajectory of AI.

I was underestimating how much we are likely to scale inference-time compute in the near future, but this is different than RSI and I have not seen enough to convince me that an intelligence explosion is near.