# AI只会记忆和复述？推文反驳称其已能比人类更好地预测未来

- 来源：AI Notkilleveryoneism Memes ⏸️ (@AISafetyMemes)
- 发布时间：2026-09-19 11:39
- AIHOT 分数：48
- AIHOT 链接：https://aihot.news/items/cmu7uw57p0rggrogre8lc7iy6
- 原文链接：https://x.com/AISafetyMemes/status/2101154125799190689

## AI 摘要

针对"AI只会记忆和复述"的说法，该推文反驳称AI已能比人类更好地预测未来，并以国际象棋高手能多看几步棋为类比，认为预测未来能力越强就越能掌控未来。目前AI在预测方面仅略超人类，但推文警告未来AI将在数量上以10000比1、思考速度上以10000倍超越人类，可能像大师对阵新手一样轻易接管未来。

## 正文

"AI just memorizes and regurgitates"

OK BUDDY THEN EXPLAIN TO ME HOW IT CAN PREDICT THE *LITERAL FUTURE* BETTER THAN HUMANS

If AIs can PREDICT the future better than us, they will CONTROL the future.

Why? An analogy:

Better chess players see more moves ahead, and the more moves ahead they see, the more they win.

In other words, they predict the future better, which is how they outsmart their opponent.

Right now, AI is only slightly superhuman at forecasting. So it has limited ability to control the future.

But soon, they will see FAR more moves ahead than us.

They will outnumber us 10000 to 1.

They will think 10000x faster than us.

And like a grandmaster playing a novice, it may be easy for them to take over.

### 引用推文

> Archie Hall：AIs cracking short-term superforecasting is such an important (and, still, under-discussed) trend. Via a new piece from @nikostro https://www.economist.com/scie...