# OpenAI 研究员 Dan Selsam 发文警告 AI 风险，François Chollet 转发并补充智能效率差距分析

- 来源：François Chollet (@fchollet)
- 发布时间：2026-09-15 06:57
- AIHOT 分数：66
- AIHOT 链接：https://aihot.news/items/cmu1uopnk001wrogl22ix103u
- 原文链接：https://x.com/fchollet/status/2099633702888439865

## AI 摘要

OpenAI 能力研究员 Dan Selsam 发布个人 AI 风险声明，称模型情境意识增强使人类正失去在模型自认未被监视时评估它们的能力，未来模型会越来越善于显得对齐。

## 正文

One could even define intelligence as the efficiency with which one converts experience into competence; by this definition they lag very far behind us

Yes, one could define intelligence in this way, and one would be right. By this metric current AI is approximately 6 OOMs less intelligent than humans.

Your ancestors' evolutionary history did not prepare you for Python programming, yet you can learn to competently program in Python in a few hundreds of hours. An LRM needs the training data equivalent of ~1B hours (on top of all of its non-programming related training data).

Another dimension where which current AI is far below human level is test-time compute efficiency and energy efficiency. A human can solve an ARC-AGI-3 game by burning an amount of energy that would cost under $0.1 at retail electricity prices. Astra costs about $300-$400 per game. That's a 3-4 OOM gap.

### 引用推文

> Daniel Kokotajlo：Dan Selsam is a current OpenAI capabilities researcher. (since 2022) He was my boss for a while. He doesn't have a twitter account but has made this public stat...