# Haider 谈 AGI 距离已不再遥远

- 来源：Haider. (@haider1)
- 发布时间：2026-09-14 01:21
- AIHOT 分数：28
- AIHOT 链接：https://aihot.news/items/cmu03ci1n039wrory4dd56nss
- 原文链接：https://x.com/haider1/status/2099186634256535627

## AI 摘要

6 个月前，我还以为 AGI 还差很多个版本

像 opus 4.6 和 5.6 sol 这样的模型已经不错，但还不够好。有了 astra、mythos，以及 OpenAI 那个解决了 navier-stokes 的内部模型，我觉得我们已经不那么远了

即使 scaling 今天停止，更好的微调和 harness 也能让下一个模型达到 80–90% 的程度

## 正文

6 months ago, i thought AGI was still many versions away

models like opus 4.6 and 5.6 sol were good, but not good enough. with astra, mythos, and openai's internal model that solved navier-stokes, i don't think we're that far away anymore

even if scaling stopped today, better fine-tuning and harnesses could get the next model 80–90% there