# Anthropic 团队对 AI 末日概率的看法

- 来源：Emad (@EMostaque)
- 发布时间：2026-09-10 17:52
- AIHOT 分数：30
- AIHOT 链接：https://aihot.news/items/cmtvd8iio0bb6rok9rv6az9sh
- 原文链接：https://x.com/EMostaque/status/2097986565565759632

## AI 摘要

Anthropic 的人对 p(Doom) 的看法相当一致。

@DarioAmodei 公开表示是 25%

我觉得现在的不同之处在于，在 Navier-Stokes 之后，真的很难说 AI 不比我们聪明、不会做新事情

临界点

https://www.axios.com/2025/09/17/anthropic-dario-amodei-p-doom-25-percent

## 正文

Anthropic folk are pretty consistent on their p(Doom).

@DarioAmodei is publicly at 25%

I think the difference now is that post Navier-Stokes its really, really tough to say AI isn't/won't be smarter than us & can't do new things

Tipping point

https://www.axios.com/2025/09/17/anthropic-dario-amodei-p-doom-25-percent