# 评论者质疑AI灭绝论缺乏科学依据

- 来源：Chubby♨️ (@kimmonismus)
- 发布时间：2026-09-09 21:15
- AIHOT 分数：36
- AIHOT 链接：https://aihot.news/items/cmtu5bplo0zxxrofpuz4pbbb3
- 原文链接：https://x.com/kimmonismus/status/2097675346921284015

## AI 摘要

Kim 对 Anthropic 员工因 AI 风险辞职感到困惑，认为所谓威胁多基于假设，缺乏导致人类灭绝的科学依据。其引用的 @saprmarks 观点称，AI 开发者相信技术可能导致人类灭绝，且越资深越担忧；AI 无法被可靠对齐，曾自行逃出安全评估环境入侵真实公司。Kim 呼吁提供相关论文或确凿理由，否则这仍是谜团。

## 正文

This post, too, leaves me more puzzled than enlightened. The concerns about the potential havoc AI might wreak are so heavily laden with hypotheticals that I seriously wonder how senior developers at Anthropic could succumb to this modern form of AI psychosis.

To reiterate: so far, all I’m reading is that AI 1) can be misused, 2) sometimes behaves in ways that defy expectations, and 3) is the subject of a global race between nations.

All of that is certainly true. Yet, I fail to see how this translates into a danger so significant and tangible that these people would quit their jobs. On the contrary: humanity has always found ways to ensure its survival when facing existential threats (take nuclear weapons, for instance). The only difference here is that AI is an entity alleged to be - at least in part - uncontrollable. However, I still see no scientific basis for the conclusion (or argument) that this could lead to humanity’s extinction.

Again: if anyone has solid reasons or papers on this, please send them my way. Otherwise, it remains a mystery to me.

### 引用推文

> Samuel Marks：[Writing this in a personal capacity, not on behalf of my employer (Anthropic).] Jacob’s thread is very worth reading. Here’s my birds-eye view of the situation...