In most industries, experts predict their world-changing tech is 2 years away
Later, they realize it's more like 10
In AI - and only AI - it’s consistently the *opposite*
~EVERYONE is shocked by the speed of development
Famous exception: AI 2027, which is right on track
As recently as April this year, prediction markets gave AI less than a 40% chance of solving any Millennium Prize Problem before **2030**