# AI表现超顶级预测者预期

- 来源：Ethan Mollick (@emollick)
- 发布时间：2026-09-09 04:05
- AIHOT 分数：36
- AIHOT 链接：https://aihot.news/items/cmtt4hkl002snrozanv55e0dx
- 原文链接：https://x.com/emollick/status/2097416156566921632

## AI 摘要

AI 似乎正在超越最优秀预测者的预期。

## 正文

AI seems to be beating the expectations of the best forecasters.

### 引用推文

> Kevin A. Bryan：Nov 2025 LEAP panel of AI experts and superforecasters: 10% chance of AI helping solve a Millennium problem by 2027. "One expert cites the Clay president's June...
