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Ethan Mollick· @emollick · X·· 2026-09-09AI 评分37
AI 导读

AI 似乎正在超越最优秀预测者的预期。

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AI seems to be beating the expectations of the best forecasters.

引用Kevin A. Bryan@Afinetheorem
Nov 2025 LEAP panel of AI experts and superforecasters: 10% chance of AI helping solve a Millennium problem by 2027. "One expert cites the Clay president's June 2025 claim: “We're very far away from AI being able to say anything serious about any of those problems” (Heaven 2025)"
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来源:Ethan Mollick · x.com