Ethan Mollick· @emollick · X·· 2026-06-19AI 评分67
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Ethan Mollick 称赞 AA-Briefcase 是真实知识工作的优质基准,未饱和且含私有保留测试,同时询问是否有与人类的对比。该基准由 @ArtificialAnlys 发布,测试模型在多周、多任务项目中的能力,输入含数万条 Slack 消息和数千封邮件。模型排名:Claude Fable 5(已不可用)以 1587 Elo 居首,Claude Opus 4.8(1356)第二,GLM-5.2 max(1266)第三。结果凸显难度:最佳模型仅 3% 任务满足全部标准,31/91 任务无模型超过 50%,成本跨度约 800 倍。
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I have given AA a hard time about its previous agentic evaluation but this looks like a good and impressive benchmark for real world knowledge work that is unsaturated and had private hold out tests.
This is one to watch - I didn’t see a human comparison score though?
Announcing AA-Briefcase, the benchmark for the next era of agentic knowledge work AA-Briefcase is our new benchmark for testing models on long-horizon knowledge work tasks in complex projects built by industry experts. Models are evaluated on multi-week projects, each with many linked tasks and thousands of input source files. We evaluated Claude Fable 5 from @AnthropicAI before it became unavailable, and it currently leads with an Elo score of 1587, followed by Claude Opus 4.8 (max, 1356), Opus 4.7, and the recently-released GLM 5.2 (max, 1266) from @Zai_org. Claude Fable 5 cost $31 on average to run each AA-Briefcase task, followed by Claude Opus 4.8 at $10.40, GPT-5.5 (xhigh) at $3.68 and GLM-5.2 (max) at $2.40. AA-Briefcase comprises four private scenarios, each representing a multi-week knowledge work project set in a realistic organizational context. A public fifth scenario has been released via @huggingface as a representation of scenario structure, submission, and grading (AA-Briefcase Lite). This does not count toward official AA-Briefcase results, and is demonstrative only. Key elements of AA-Briefcase: ➤ Realistic long-horizon projects: AA-Briefcase moves beyond single, disconnected prompts by evaluating models across a coherent long-horizon project. Tasks build week by week, draw on shared institutional context, and require deliverables such as financial models, board presentations, and design mock-ups ➤ Large volumes of fragmented context: AA-Briefcase requires models to reason across thousands of inputs, including company documents, meeting transcripts, large-scale data exports, 25,000+ Slack messages and 3,500+ emails. These sources are fragmented, messy, and often contain realistic contradiction, testing whether models can navigate the ambiguity of real-world knowledge work ➤ Composite rubric and pairwise grading: AA-Briefcase combines binary rubric checks for ground-truth correctness with pairwise grading on analytical quality and presentation quality. Unlike many evaluations that focus on a single metric, AA-Briefcase tests agentic capabilities more comprehensively, exposing cases where models produce outputs that look polished but are incorrect or lack analytical rigor ➤ Built by industry experts: AA-Briefcase scenarios mirror real-world knowledge work, with tasks developed over months by experts across data science, product management and corporate strategy from companies including Google, McKinsey & Company and BCG. Task challenges are drawn from professional experience, making AA-Briefcase more reflective of the ambiguity, messy context and competing priorities that define real-world knowledge work Key results: ➤ Claude Fable 5 leads AA-Briefcase at 1587 Elo: This is followed by Claude Opus 4.8 (1356) with the next-best non-Anthropic model, GLM-5.2 (max), ~90 points back at 1266. Note that Claude Fable 5 did not use the Opus 4.8 fallback for any task in AA-Briefcase ➤ Cost per task varies by ~800x across models tested: Claude Fable 5 leads the benchmark but costs more than $31 per task on average, compared to ~$0.04 for DeepSeek V4 Flash (max). The strongest price/performance options are open weights models such as GLM-5.2 (max) and DeepSeek V4 Pro (max), with GLM-5.2 (max) scoring only ~90 Elo below Claude Opus 4.8 (max) for less than 25% of the cost ➤ Real-world complexity remains difficult for models: The top performer, Claude Fable 5, satisfies all rubric criteria on just 3% of AA-Briefcase tasks. On 31 of 91 tasks, no model scores above 50% on the rubric criteria ➤ Task difficulty scales with the number of required input files: For each rubric check, we identify the set of source files needed to pass. Across all models, pass rates fall as this file count increases, though top-tier models degrade less than weaker models More details below in thread ⬇️在 X 查看被引用的帖子
来源:Ethan Mollick · x.com