Chollet 观察到软件工程"全面"自动化后的四点现象:软件工程师数量比 2025 年更多且需求仍在增长,工程师工作强度前所未有,但已基本不再写代码、约 100% 代码由智能体编写。与此同时,雇佣这些工程师和智能体的公司,其利润底线并未因 AI 采用而改善。他认为必须从系统层面思考:自动化系统中某一环节会带来新的摩擦,并把瓶颈转移到别处。
Some observations about the "total" automation of software engineering:
1. There are more software engineers now than in 2025, and demand is growing.
2. Software engineers have never worked harder than they do now.
3. They largely don't write code anymore, agents write ~100% of the code.
4. The bottom line of the companies that employs these engineers and agents (i.e. the terminal purpose of all this code) is typically not budging as a result of AI adoption.
This is why you have to think in terms of systems. Automating one aspect of a system creates its own friction and moves the bottlenecks elsewhere.
来源:François Chollet · x.com