Rohan Paul· @rohanpaul_ai · X·· 4 小时前AI 评分53
AI 导读
Epoch AI 数据显示,全球在用 AI 芯片总算力正以每年 3.4 倍的速度增长;而自 2024 年初以来每季度售出的 AI 芯片算力增速为每年 2.5 倍,低于 2023 年由 Nvidia H100 带动的约 6 倍。作者推断,如果每年新芯片采购维持 2.5 倍增速,在用总算力增速最终也会回落到约 2.5 倍;Epoch AI 提示季度销售数据有噪声,且数据截止时 Nvidia 正开始出货下一代芯片,放缓可能只是代际交替间的低谷。
正文 · 原文
the total computing power of all AI chips in use is growing 3.4x a year.
per Epoch AI
but if each year’s new chip purchases grow only 2.5x, that total will eventually slow to about 2.5x as well.
The computing power of AI chips sold each quarter has grown 2.5× per year since the start of 2024. That’s down from roughly 6× in 2023, led by Nvidia’s then-new H100 GPU. Some evidence suggests growth slowed further. But quarterly sales are noisy, and our data ends just as Nvidia begins shipping its next-generation chips, a move that has historically spiked sales. This could be a lull between generations. See our website for more details on the analysis: https://epoch.ai/data-insights/ai-computing-capacity-additions-doubling This is from our AI chip sales dataset, which uses financial reports, company disclosures, and more to estimate compute, power usage, and spending for a wide variety of chips: https://epoch.ai/data/ai-chip-sales在 X 查看被引用的帖子
来源:Rohan Paul · x.com