Rohan Paul· @rohanpaul_ai · X·· 3 小时前AI 评分48
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Anthropic 的订阅用户每美元获得的算力可能是 API 买家的 4 倍以上。 这一结论基于 SemiAnalysis 的估算：Anthropic 的推理业务总利润率可能达到 88%，其中包含以 50% 算力利润率提供的"重度补贴"订阅服务。 也就是说，订阅业务估算的 50% 算力利润率被包含在 88% 的综合利润率之中。
正文
Anthropic’s subscribers likely get over 4X as much compute per dollar as its API buyers.
This is based on estimates by SemiAnalysis that Anthropic’s total inference business possibly generating 88% post-compute margins, which is including the “heavily subsidized” subscriptions served at a 50% compute margin.
i.e. the estimated 50% compute margin on subscriptions sits inside a blended 88%.
Recent work from SemiAnalysis estimates Anthropic could have 88% margins after compute costs for their inference business. That INCLUDES the "heavily subsidized" subscription business, which is still served at a 50% compute margin. But what about training costs? Even if you assume 70% of compute is going towards R&D, you still blend to a 60% company level margin. Add in your assumptions for data & talent costs and you can start to see how the market could be very wrong about frontier lab profitability and the sustainability of the AI buildout.在 X 查看被引用的帖子
来源：Rohan Paul · x.com